Trading Week Ahead: Will CPI Dictate Next Rate Cuts?
After recent labor market weakness fueled interest rate cut speculation, traders are turning their focus to upcoming inflation figures. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to hold interest rates unchanged, keeping central bank divergence in play. With critical U.S. CPI and PPI data due, any unexpected inflation readings could trigger sharp repricing across currency pairs and risk assets.
👉 RBA Interest Rate Decision – 6:30 AM, Tuesday (GMT+2)
Expected to be unchanged as policymakers balance sticky domestic inflation against economic cooling. Hawkish commentary could support AUD pairs, while dovish guidance will likely pressure the Aussie dollar.
👉 U.S. CPI (MoM) – 2:30 PM, Wednesday (GMT+2)
Forecast at 0.1% following last month’s 0.4% contraction. A hotter print may trigger hawkish Fed repricing and bid up the dollar, whereas a softer reading could fuel risk-on sentiment and boost equities.
👉 U.S. PPI (MoM) – 2:30 PM, Thursday (GMT+2)
Forecast at 0.2%, up from -0.3% MoM. An upside surprise would signal pipeline price pressures and lift Treasury yields, while a downside miss would reinforce the disinflation narrative and lift risk assets.
| Date | Time | Instrument | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 |
6:30 AM
|
AUD
|
RBA Interest Rate Decision |
|
4:00 PM
|
USD
|
Existing Home Sales | |
| 08/12/26 |
8:00 AM
|
EUR
|
German CPI |
|
2:30 PM
|
USD
|
CPI | |
| 08/13/26 |
2:30 PM
|
USD
|
PPI |
*All times in the table are in GMT+2
All information provided herein is intended solely for educational purposes related to trading on financial markets and does not constitute investment advice or serve in any way as a specific investment recommendation. Please read the full disclosure here.
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