Trading Week Ahead: All Eyes Turn to the Fed
U.S. stocks are surging following the announcement of an interim peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran, which secures the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. This geopolitical breakthrough has sent Brent crude tumbling toward $82 a barrel, while a softer U.S. dollar has sparked a sharp rally in gold.
Alongside a massive boost in equity sentiment from SpaceX’s blockbuster public debut, traders are now entirely focused on how this fading energy shock will influence the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision.
Brace for this week’s three key macro events:
👉 EUR CPI – 11:00 AM, Wednesday (GMT+2)
The final Eurozone inflation read. This print is crucial for pricing European Central Bank rate expectations and will dictate near-term volatility across all major EUR pairs.
👉 U.S. Retail Sales – 2:30 PM, Wednesday (GMT+2)
A key gauge of consumer spending is currently forecasted to remain unchanged. A robust figure reinforces underlying economic strength, while a soft print could drag the dollar lower and fuel dovish repricing.
👉 U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision – 8:00 PM, Wednesday (GMT+2)
The undeniable event of the week. With rates expected to hold steady, traders will heavily scrutinize new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s forward guidance to see if plunging oil prices revive hopes for future rate cuts.
| Date | Time | Instrument | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/16/26 |
5:00 AM
|
JPY
|
BoJ Interest Rate Decision |
|
6:30 AM
|
AUD
|
RBA Interest Rate Decision | |
| 06/17/26 |
8:00 AM
|
GBP
|
CPI |
|
11:00 AM
|
EUR
|
CPI | |
|
2:30 PM
|
USD
|
Retail Sales | |
|
3:30 PM
|
USD
|
President Trump Speaks | |
|
8:00 PM
|
USD
|
Fed Interest Rate Decision | |
|
8:30 PM
|
USD
|
FOMC Press Conference | |
| 06/18/26 |
1:00 PM
|
GBP
|
BoE Interest Rate Decision |
| 06/19/26 |
8:00 AM
|
EUR
|
German PPI |
|
GBP
|
Retail Sales |
*All times in the table are in GMT+2
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