Trading Week Ahead: FOMC and PCE in Focus
With U.S. markets closed on Monday for a holiday, attention turns to a packed week of economic data and earnings. A cooler-than-expected inflation reading has revived hopes for a Fed rate cut as early as June, while AI-related concerns continue to weigh on tech. This week’s PCE inflation and GDP figures could provide a crucial update for policymakers and markets alike, alongside key corporate results from Walmart, Palo Alto Networks, and others.
👉 FOMC Meeting Minutes
On Wednesday evening, the minutes will offer a deeper look into the Fed’s January decision. Any signs of disagreement or concern around the inflation outlook could move yields and shift dollar sentiment.
👉 US GDP
Q4 growth is forecast to be revised down to 2.8% from the initial 4.4%. A downgrade may weigh on the soft-landing narrative and support risk assets. A stronger revision would likely boost the dollar.
👉 Core PCE Price Index
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge is expected to rise 0.3%, up from 0.2% previously. A hotter print could challenge dovish expectations and lift the dollar. A soft number would support equities and cut pricing.
| Date | Time | Instrument | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, Feb. 17 |
8:00 AM |
GBP
|
Claimant Count Change |
EUR
|
German CPI | ||
|
2:30 PM |
CAD
|
CPI | |
| Wednesday, Feb. 18 |
8:00 AM |
GBP
|
CPI |
|
8:00 PM |
USD
|
FOMC Meeting Minutes | |
| Thursday, Feb. 19 |
4:00 PM |
USD
|
Pending Home Sales |
| Friday, Feb. 20 |
8:00 AM |
GBP
|
Retail Sales |
|
10:30 AM |
GBP
|
PMI | |
|
2:30 PM |
CAD
|
Retail Sales | |
|
USD
|
GDP | ||
|
USD
|
Core PCE Price Index | ||
|
3:45 PM |
USD
|
PMI | |
|
4:00 PM |
USD
|
New Home Sales |
*All times in the table are in GMT+1
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